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Smith"Now, I can officially say I am done. D, Walden University Pin It on Pinterest Shares Facebook. Learn more about OnlineOpenExposure-wide epidemiology: revisiting Bradford Hill This article was the basis on the annual Bradford Hill lecture at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine that was delivered by John Ioannidis in London on July 7, 2015.

Statistics in Medicine aims to influence practice in medicine and its associated sciences through the publication of papers on statistical and other quantitative methods such as medical statistics, biostatistics, clinical trials and epidemiology. You can find out more about the scope of Statistics in Medicine by reading the Aims and Scope.

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If your school or workplace has a vending machine, the healthiest step would be to remove it. The next best alternative would be to only stock it with water, reduced or low fat milk and low-kilojoule options.

Download our Healthy Drinks Vending Machine Guidelines for more tips. Search: Main Menu Tips and resources Here are some suggestions to help you, your school or your workplace, go sugar sweetened beverage free. Download our A3 poster Sports drinks are gammin' Download our A3 poster Do you really need that sports drink.

Download our A3 poster Time to Rethink Sugary Drink. Download our poster What are sugary drinks doing to your body. For workplaces Want to help your staff and colleagues reduce their sugary drink consumption. Download the free Rethink Sugary Drinks e-kit for workplaces. Is there a vending machine in your building. Time to take an audit of its contents. If you can't get rid of the machine altogether, lobby to get it stocked with water or unsweetened drinks.

Download the Healthy Drinks Vending Machine Guidelines. It might be time to consider other options. Ensure you provide tap water or a water cooler that employees can easily access. Spread the word about the health effects of regular sugary drink consumption: Use our PowerPoint presentation to explain to staff Download content for your website, newsletter or social media channels Display our posters in your workplace: Time to Rethink Sugary Drink and What Are Sugary Drinks Doing to Your Body.

Here are some practical tips to help you bake better gluten-free bread. Yeast loves a warm environment and bread will rise more quickly and completely when ingredients are at room temperature rather than cold. Gluten-free flours are often stored in the refrigerator or freezer. Using chilled ingredients will significantly slow the yeasts' ability to leaven bread. A convenient way to bring chilled flours to room temperature is to measure flour(s) for your recipe and place in a bowl on the counter the night before baking.

For perishable ingredients, like eggs and milk, set on the counter about 2 hours before preparing your recipe.Our latest research certainly shows a decrease in consumption in categories deemed less healthy and a willingness to spend significantly more on health and more environmentally conscious categories.

It also shows consumers are more likely to spend more to indulge themselves and more likely to try new technology. While their consumption choices have become more individualistic, though, it is important to note that family values continue to be at the top of their priorities (Exhibit 3).

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One area our predictions missed, however, was by anticipating that consumers, as they became more individualistic in their choices, might focus less on basic product reliability and safety.

Perhaps in part because of a number of more recent food scandals, however, consumers seemed more concerned with these issues in 2015 than they were before. When our team first started researching Chinese consumers, nearly ten years ago, many of us were surprised by their fickle attitude toward brands.

Fewer than half of consumers tended to stick with their favorite brands, compared, for example, with almost three quarters of US consumers. As we debated this tendency while making our predictions, we wondered if, in the clash between pragmatism and individualism, brand loyalty would stay low, increase, or even decline.

Ultimately, we decided it would increase as the emotional benefits of brands became more important to consumers and as increased choice and availability of branded products (online and off) would allow consumers to optimize for price and convenience without changing choices too often.

Our recent research confirmed the changes we anticipated. Consumers are now significantly less likely to buy a brand that is not already among their favorites, continuing the upward trend we observed in 2011 (Exhibit 4). The modern shopper Our 2011 predictions were bullish on e-commerce, predicting that Chinese consumers would adapt their channel choices even faster than has occurred in developed markets.

We estimated that by 2020, online consumer-electronics purchases would jump to 40 percent, from about 10 percent. More mainstream categories would rise to 15 percent, and some categories, such as groceries (now below 1 percent), could reach about 10 percent. These changes are occurring even as the enduring pragmatism and diligence of the Chinese consumer continue to be in place. Our latest research shows that consumers of all age groups are much more likely to collect information online, even on fast-moving consumer goods, than they were just three years ago.

In 2015, online food and beverages sales (excluding fresh) reached 7. The online share of consumer-electronic purchases, meanwhile, has reached a whopping 39 percent in 2015, and it now looks possible that by 2020 it will be about 50 percent of overall sales. Making predictions may be difficult, especially about the futureas US Baseball Hall of Famer Yogi Berra famously observed.

But they can still provide valuable foresight for executives. Create a profile to get full access to our articles and reports, including those by McKinsey Quarterly and the McKinsey Global Institute, and to subscribe to our newsletters and email alerts. McKinsey Quarterly Our flagship business publication has been defining and informing the senior-management agenda since 1964. McKinsey Academy Our learning programs help organizations accelerate growth by unlocking their people's potential.

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How is their behavior evolving. Most Popular Report - McKinsey Global Institute What the future of work will mean for jobs, skills, and wages In an era marked by rapid advances in automation and artificial intelligence, new research assesses the jobs lost and jobs gained under different scenarios through 2030.

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The VIP Monthly Subscription Fee Is 350 Kenya Shillings. Payment Is Done By Using Safaricom M-Pesa. Everyday You Will Get 6 Football Betting Tips.Multiple response variables or multiple dichotomies often arise when summarizing survey data. The nature of such variables or factors in a table is best illustrated with examples. As part of a larger market survey, suppose you asked a sample of consumers to name their three favorite soft drinks.

Also, a wide variety of soft drinks will most likely be named. The next question is how to enter the responses into a data file.

Suppose 50 different soft drinks were mentioned among all of the questionnaires. This method of coding the responses would be very tedious and "wasteful. Alternatively, we could set up three variables, and a coding scheme for the 50 soft drinks. Then we could enter the respective codes (or alpha labels) into the three variables, in the same way that respondents wrote them down in the questionnaire.

To produce a table of the number of respondents by soft drink we would now treat Resp. Note that the counts in the first column of the table do not add up to 500, but rather to 842. For example, referring back to the sample listing of the data file shown above, the first case (Coke, Pepsi, Jolt) "contributes" three times to the frequency table, once to the category Coke, once to the category Pepsi, and once to the category Jolt.

The second and third columns in the table above report the percentages relative to the number of responses (second column) as well as respondents (third column). Thus, the entry 8.

Suppose in the above example we were only interested in Coke, Pepsi, and Sprite. As pointed out earlier, one way to code the data in that case would be as follows: COKE PEPSI SPRITE. In other words, one variable was created for each soft drink, then a value of 1 was entered into the respective variable whenever the respective drink was mentioned by the respective respondent. In a sense, we "compact" the three variables Coke, Pepsi, and Sprite into a single variable (Soft Drink) consisting of multiple dichotomies.

All of these types of variables can then be used in crosstabulation tables. For example, we could crosstabulate a multiple dichotomy for Soft Drink (coded as described in the previous paragraph) with a multiple response variable Favorite Fast Foods (with many categories such as Hamburgers, Pizza, etc. As in the frequency table, the percentages and marginal totals in that table can be computed from the total number of respondents as well as the total number of responses.

For example, consider the following hypothetical respondent: Gender Coke Pepsi Sprite Food1 Food2 FEMALE 1 1 FISH PIZZA This female respondent mentioned Coke and Pepsi as her favorite drinks, and Fish and Pizza as her favorite fast foods.

In the complete crosstabulation table she will be counted in the following cells of the table: Food. FEMALE MALE COKE PEPSI SPRITE COKE PEPSI SPRITE X X X X 2 2 This female respondent will "contribute" to (i. Paired Crosstabulation of Multiple Response Variables. A unique option for tabulating multiple response variables is to treat the variables in two or more multiple response variables as matched pairs. Again, this method is best illustrated with a simple example.

Suppose we conducted a survey of past and present home ownership. We asked the respondents to describe their last three (including the present) homes that they purchased.

For each home we asked our respondents to write down the number of rooms in the respective house, and the number of occupants. Here is how the data for one respondent (say case number 112) may be entered into a data file: Case no. Rooms 1 2 3 No. Now suppose we wanted to crosstabulate the number of rooms by the number of occupants for all respondents.

We can also treat the two factors in this study (Number of Rooms, Number of Occupants) as multiple response variables. However, it would obviously not make any sense to count the example respondent 112 shown above in cell 3 Rooms - 5 Occupants of the crosstabulation table (which we would, if we simply treated the two factors as ordinary multiple response variables). In other words, we want to ignore the combination of occupants in the third home with the number of rooms in the first home.

This is exactly what will be accomplished if we asked for a paired crosstabulation of these multiple response variables.

The best way to verify that one understands the way in which the respective tables are constructed is to crosstabulate some simple example data, and then to trace how each case is counted.I will never forget this experience. This was our first time booking with a tour company, and it was a wonderful experience overall. I would definitely recommend Nordic Visitor to anyone looking for a trip. One of the best short get-aways I have ever done. The arrangements by the "Nordic Visitor" Team was superb.

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Looking forward to booking other trips with you in the future. We were pleasantly surprised at the high level of our accommodations. We asked for an upgrade of a guaranteed ensuite, and all the hotels were of the highest standard. The map with the highlighted tour and places to stop and see was very useful. The pickup and drop-off service was well worth the extra expense. The drivers were very knowledgeable and courteous.

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We used it the entire tour. Also, the GPS navigation system provided by the car rental company was indispensable. All of the documents provided by Nordic Visitor were excellent. Our tour of Iceland was one of our best ever, and we have been all over the world. Nordic Visitor made all the arrangements, did a great job of communication, documentation, and selection of facilities and points of interest.The local equity markets will probably rise, and investors may anticipate a stronger U.

If they buy index futures, the price will go up. And with index arbitrageurs on the sidelines until the U. As soon as New York opens, though, the index arbitrageurs will execute whatever trades are needed to bring the index futures price back in line - in this example, by buying the component stocks and selling index futures.

Investors cannot just check whether the futures price is above or below its closing value on the previous day, though. The dividend adjustments to index futures fair value change overnight (they are constant during each day), and the indicated market direction depends on the price of index futures relative to fair value regardless of the preceding close.

On a day when several big index constituents go ex-dividend, index futures may trade above the prior close but still imply a lower opening.

Trading is typically volatile at the opening, which accounts for a disproportionate amount of total trading volume. If an institutional investor weighs in with a large buy or sell program in multiple stocks, the market impact can overwhelm whatever price movement the index futures indicate. Institutional traders do watch futures prices, of course, but the bigger the orders they have to execute, the less important the index futures direction signal becomes.

Late openings can also disrupt index arbitrage activity. Although the market opens at 9:30am, not every stock starts to trade at once. The opening price is set through an auction procedure, and if the bids and offers do not overlap, the stock remains closed until matching orders come in. The longer index arbitrageurs stay on the sidelines, the greater the chances that other market activity will negate the index futures direction signal. The Bottom Line If the futures price suggests the market will rise on the opening, investors who wish to sell that day may want to wait until after the market opens before entering their order, or set a higher price limit.

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Buyers may want to hold off when index futures predict a lower opening, too. Investors can monitor futures prices and fair values on websites like CNBC or CNN Money, both of which also show pre-market indications for individual stocks (a less reliable indicator due to poor liquidity).

Here's help in making the decision. A capitalization-weighted index is a market index whose individual components are weighted according to their market capitalization. Choosing either ETF options or index options can make the difference between big profits or a big bust.

Read detailed information about index mutual funds with some of the lowest expense ratios in their categories, and learn about their pros and cons. ETF success relies on the index with which it's paired. Discover three index genres for tracking average market performance.

Learn how the fair value for futures stock index contracts is calculated, and understand how differences between those numbers. An index fund is a mutual fund, or a basket.